Thursday, July 21, 2011

The Top 4 (Djokovic/Nadal/Federer/Murray) In Tennis And The Story Of Statistics So Far:


Game Statistics are misleading or are they? Have a look yourself:

Djokovic/Nadal/Federer/Murray- Statistics for the year 2011 so far:


Statistics*
Novak Djokovic
Rafael Nadal
Roger Federer
Andy Murray
Matches Played
49
57
47
36
Aces
239
196
333
302
First Serve
66
67
64
59
First Serve Points Won
75
72
78
74
Second Serve Points Won
58
57
57
48
Service Games Won
89
85
89
78
Break Points Saved
70
66
65
59
Points Won Returning 1st Serve
35
35
34
37
Points Won Returning 2nd Serve
58
58
51
56
Break Points Converted
48
47
39
46
Return Games Won
39
36
27
36
 * Stats (%) except Matches Played and Aces.

Key Takeaways:
1) The stats clearly show that Djokovic has a better overall game amongst the top 4. No doubt that he is now known as a player with no weakness.

2) Djokovic has an edge over Nadal in two key areas: Service and Return Games Won. Result: He has defeated Nadal in all the 5 meetings this year.

3) Federer on the other hand has had a good year with strong service games. But he has lacked in a very important area: Return Games Won. He is 12 % points and 9 % points behind Djokovic and Nadal respectively. A huge margin. So if he wants to win US open, he will have to win more on Second Serve Returns and Break Points.

4) Murray is one of the best returners in the game currently. But if he wants to  break the top 3, he will have to win more on his service games. He is 12 % points behind Djokovic. Especially his focus should be on his Second Serve Points which seem to be his vulnerable point.

People sometimes say that statistics cannot help predict a player’s game and performance. Right but if you are looking at one and not the entire game statistics. Overall game statistics can be very  important as it can help a player identify his strengths and weaknesses. So that he can focus on becoming the best player like Djokovic did last year. Not only this, but it also helps the coaching staff and player to decide on the opponents weaknesses and strengths and decide the strategy for the game.  

And clearly Djokovic statistics tell the entire story, isn't it true?

If you have any questions- You can mail me at apekshaha@gmail.com
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7 comments:

  1. @apeeksha.. your missing the Unforced Errors column .... which i guess would be way way greater for Roger and Andy compared to Rafa and Nole.. I would like to know the differences in unforced errors made by Nadal and djokovic.. really nice article !

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  2. Thanks Jai. I know but i couldn't find the data for unforced errors. Will post it as soon as i get hold of it.

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  3. I think this table shows clearly that Murray must work on his serve - the reliability of the first and the potency of the second. The good news for Murray is there's a lot of room for improvement, which if achieved, could sway the balance against the top 3. The bad news for Murray is that Delpo's back and on his favorite surface. I'd like to see how his stats measure up to the big four.

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  4. I totally agree with you Chery, if he can improve his serve (both first and second), i dont see why he cannot break into top 3. Thats what Djokovic did last year, improve his serve and forehand and we can see the result:):).

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  5. Good analysis. what about statistics of these player on different surface that will predict who will be favoiute of US open.

    ReplyDelete